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Cold weather...
#285706 01/07/10 03:18 PM
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I absolutely do not for the life of me understand how you folks up north deal with the cold weather. This week has been very unusual and frigid for us here in south Florida, the upper 20s and lower 30's for the lows and mid to upper 50s for the highs all week, a warming trend tomorrow (upper 60s) and then, according to the weatherman, back for another several days of this very non-typical weather. (We're 15 to 20 degrees below normal!)

I can't imagine another 20 degrees colder than this with snow and ice, what do you guys do in the mid winter .... hibernate?


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #285707 01/07/10 03:19 PM
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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #285709 01/07/10 03:32 PM
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Yeah, I don't know how people up north do it. In the mild zones like here, -40C is sligthly chilly, but up north it can go down to -60C! Now, THAT's cold!


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Re: Cold weather...
ClubNeon #285711 01/07/10 03:35 PM
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Right now we have around 6 inches on the ground with a few more expected. The temps have been below average here as well. We haven't been out of the teens in a while with today's high at 20.


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Re: Cold weather...
EFalardeau #285713 01/07/10 03:40 PM
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Eric I worked in Grand Forks, North Dakota for a summer and remember the summer mornings being as cold as most of our mid winter days here, while I was bundled and complaining about the cold the local folks were relishing the warm summer ... "COLD?! Come back in January whenever it's -50F out and we'll show you 'Cold'"

I don't think so.


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #285714 01/07/10 03:48 PM
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I guess it is all relative. In the mountains of Maryland, we'll see at worst a few days that drop to 0°F; that's pretty unbearable. I couldn't imagine -40°. I've heard at that temp if you spit you can hear it crackle in the air, as it freezes before hitting the ground.


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Re: Cold weather...
ClubNeon #285727 01/07/10 05:11 PM
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Here in NC, We have not been above freezing for about 5 days. We still have snow on the ground (in shaded locations) from the pre Christmas snow. This is the longest that any snow has stayed around for over 50 years. I think it is Global Warming!


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Re: Cold weather...
ClubNeon #285732 01/07/10 05:25 PM
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We are having an another unusually warm winter her in the Maritimes. It has, with very little exception, been bordering just above or below zero degrees Celsius (32 f).

It's all relative to what you are used to and how smartly you dress. Layers are the key to adapting to our quickly changing weather. That way you can adjust quickly when the day starts out sunny and calm +2 but then a cold front moves in and by the day's end it's -15 with a wind chill factor taking it to -30 or more.

Most here start to talk about the weather when it hits -20 to -25 and start to really grumble when it hits -30. It won't make the news until it hits -35 to -40 and that's usually to due to the added wind chill.

When it's not windy, I prefer to strap on a headlight and go for a ski at night verses complaining. If you dress sensibly, the only thing unpleasant are the coyote tracks. Fleece is your friend. Cotton is your enemy.

Right now the weather is my enemy. It's been too warm to build up any decent snow for skiing (horizontal or vertical) and that makes me more grumpy than the cold.


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Re: Cold weather...
ClubNeon #285734 01/07/10 05:25 PM
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Believe it or not, but you do get used to it. The hardest part is getting through the transition between 20F and -50F. Once you are there, you just prepare for it and worry about other things that you can control. I wear shorts to the gym in the mornings down to about 0, and then I wear sweat pants. It does make riding the sleds a bit more challenging when the needle dips under 0F. You need to take more time ensuring that you don’t have any skin exposed or you will get frost bit adn won't even know it till you get somewhere warm. One strange benefit is that tires stick to the icy roads better when it gets about -30F or cooler when you’re clipping down the highway. You know it’s cold when you need to take a weed burner to your home heating propane tank to get it to vaporize and while you are heating the home propane tank, you need to occasionally heat up the weed burner propane tank with the weed burner….. Tires do a clunk-clunk-clunk for a while at around -50 or so until they warm up and get rid of the flat spot...... I have a video that a co-worker made for one of the grade schools. It’s about -40 and he is holding a steaming hot cup of coffee. He throws it straight up in the air above his head and it vaporizes. Not a drop hits the snow. Pretty cool trick we do for the southern newbie’s that come to work up here.

Re: Cold weather...
michael_d #285739 01/07/10 05:37 PM
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Hey Mike, how about recalling all this arctic air we have been in for the past 3 weeks \:\( We are currently at -6F and went to -20F last night, even for us this long of a cold spell is unusual. We get very used to our chinooks blowing in and bring us temps much closer to, if not above freezing. It is our environmental snow removal process, but this winter the snow is just building up and up.


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Re: Cold weather...
michael_d #285744 01/07/10 05:39 PM
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Heh, I have performance tires on my car which do the "clunk-clunk-clunk" thing when is starts to get near freezing. On hot days you can squish the tread with your fingers. Stick like crazy though.


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Re: Cold weather...
ClubNeon #285756 01/07/10 05:51 PM
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Jay, that's the problem we're having right now ... usually a day or two and then the temps resume back to normal but this has been going on all week and is forecasted to do so for several more days.

Mike ... I'm at a loss for words!


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #285759 01/07/10 06:00 PM
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Bundle up Rick, it will come to an end soon enough. For us northerners we won't really get out of the cold for several more months \:\(


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Re: Cold weather...
jakewash #285760 01/07/10 06:00 PM
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What did you say about "burning weed"?


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Re: Cold weather...
Argon #285780 01/07/10 06:23 PM
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We just got another 6-8" on top of the already 20+ we've got over the last few weeks. Right now we have -18F windchills with reg temp about +5F right now. Usually at night it gets down to -10 to -15 below temp with -30 to -40 windchills.

This last snow is very light and fluffy, the wind is making it hard to see across the street. I'm sure I will have to plow out the drifted in drive when I get home..


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Re: Cold weather...
SirQuack #285804 01/07/10 06:55 PM
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As others have already said, it's all relative. I wouldn't do well with your summer heat and humidity, nor Mikes' -50!

All of a sudden, NH seems "moderate"! \:\)


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Re: Cold weather...
MarkSJohnson #285816 01/07/10 07:06 PM
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It's supposed to hit -27 here in Missouri by Saturday.

Just rechecked and it has changed to -11 instead by Saturday morning as the low.

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Re: Cold weather...
CatBrat #285818 01/07/10 07:10 PM
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Unusually cold in Oklahoma as well. We still have snow on the ground from DEC 24, which is highly unusual. THe low friday night is supposed to be -3 degrees F. We usually only get down to the mid teens at the worst.


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #285830 01/07/10 07:21 PM
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Heh. Just like all the other midwestern folks, it's been really cold here too the past two weeks. Lows below zero, highs struggling to get into the teens.

Where I live, we do often get 3,4,5,6+ inches of snow during a storm, but it'll usually melt within a week. And just like David, yeah, we've still got snow on the ground from Christmas.

Yesterday, with the impending snow storm, the temps rallied to the mid 20's. I went back to just a windbreaker for a coat. ;\) I could take out the garbage again in just a t-shirt and jeans. \:\)

Next week it's supposed to hit 32 by Wednesday. Might have to put the top down on the convertible. \:\) And no, I'm not really kidding. \:\)

Everyone adapts. You get used to the climate where you live. My northwoods-Wisconsin-living in-laws think anything above 80F is "really hot".

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Re: Cold weather...
PeterChenoweth #285835 01/07/10 07:28 PM
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After stretches of unusually cold weather and the temps get back to the freezing mark it really does feel warm enough to put the convertible top down and go for a cruise, till you get splashed by the melting snow ;\)


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Re: Cold weather...
jakewash #285849 01/07/10 08:02 PM
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I like heading up north up around the Huntsville area or over towards Algonquin Park in the early spring when you get a couple of very warm days. It's crazy when you're walking around in a T-shirt and jeans where there's a foot or two of hard packed(melting) snow. I luvs the springtime, looonnnng days, hardly any bugs, warm weather but not uncomfortable like June-August....


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Re: Cold weather...
MarkSJohnson #285853 01/07/10 08:25 PM
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 Originally Posted By: MarkSJohnson
As others have already said, it's all relative. I wouldn't do well with your summer heat and humidity, nor Mikes' -50!

All of a sudden, NH seems "moderate"! \:\)


It's not the heat and humidity so much as the dam deerflies!


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Re: Cold weather...
Argon #285854 01/07/10 09:01 PM
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tomorrow we are supposed to have a high of -5 and -30 wind chills, can't wait....this light fluffy snow will be blowing all the way to Wid's house, lol


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Re: Cold weather...
Argon #285855 01/07/10 09:16 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Argon
It's not the heat and humidity so much as the dam deerflies!

Awe c'mon, they only take a small chunk out of you when they bite.


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Re: Cold weather...
SirQuack #285856 01/07/10 09:28 PM
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 Originally Posted By: sirquack
tomorrow we are supposed to have a high of -5 and -30 wind chills, can't wait....this light fluffy snow will be blowing all the way to Wid's house, lol


We're in for the same stuff. The wind is already picking up here.


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Re: Cold weather...
Wid #285871 01/07/10 10:35 PM
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Wow, I'm glad I live up here in the Great White North rather than somewhere really cold like Iowa...


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Re: Cold weather...
bridgman #285872 01/07/10 10:41 PM
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You have to wonder if the Great Lakes have a moderating effect on the weather here.


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #285873 01/07/10 10:45 PM
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....those darn Canadian clippers think they have the right to dip down to Iowa. \:\) Hey John, at least we have high speed internet down here, lol


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Re: Cold weather...
bridgman #285874 01/07/10 11:06 PM
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 Originally Posted By: bridgman
Wow, I'm glad I live up here in the Great White North rather than somewhere really cold like Iowa...
You're just in the wrong part of it. We are colder but luckily less snow falls here \:\)


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Re: Cold weather...
SirQuack #285875 01/07/10 11:07 PM
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 Originally Posted By: sirquack
Hey John, at least we have high speed internet down here, lol

That was a low blow, Randy.


Re: Cold weather...
pmbuko #285878 01/07/10 11:12 PM
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I am in St Petersburg, Florida right now. Got here yesterday, leaving for home (Iowa) tomorrow. People are acting like I am crazy because I'm not wearing a coat. The local TV forcast on the news last night stated "We had really cold temperatures today across the region, with a slight warm up tomorrow, but still cold..." it was like 58F today! That is NOT cold...

It's all relative to what you are familiar with (not used to). I sure don't enjoy below freezing temps in Iowa, but I am "familiar" with them (like a nasty relative that comes to visit for a while) and just deal...


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Re: Cold weather...
nickbuol #285895 01/08/10 01:51 AM
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Another 6 inches of snow here today with major blowing and drifting, along with the beloved below zero windchills. I think I'm tired of winter already.


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Re: Cold weather...
merchman #285904 01/08/10 03:27 AM
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Expecting a little snow tonight in Northern Virginia.

Re: Cold weather...
pmbuko #285911 01/08/10 04:11 AM
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Getting a little snow right now in Western Maryland.


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Re: Cold weather...
ClubNeon #285917 01/08/10 05:13 AM
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No snow here at the moment, but there was some motherboard on my porch tonight.

Re: Cold weather...
CV #285922 01/08/10 06:24 AM
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Did you tell her to get off your porch? ;\)

So the build continues, what's left on the grocery list?


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Re: Cold weather...
jakewash #285923 01/08/10 06:27 AM
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The only things left are the memory and video card, and potentially CPU cooler. I'll still buy random pieces afterward, but those are the only pieces that matter for having it work.

Re: Cold weather...
jakewash #285943 01/08/10 02:40 PM
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 Originally Posted By: jakewash
After stretches of unusually cold weather and the temps get back to the freezing mark it really does feel warm enough to put the convertible top down and go for a cruise, till you get splashed by the melting snow ;\)


Then you might enjoy a couple of pics from last year's "Annual New Years Day Topless Run." Sadly, I had no Jeep to participate with this year, although there was no snow anyways.






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Re: Cold weather...
CV #285944 01/08/10 02:45 PM
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We got about an inch of nearly weightless fluff. If I had a leaf blower, it would have cleared my car off beautifully.

Re: Cold weather...
Murph #285945 01/08/10 02:48 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Murph
Then you might enjoy a couple of pics from last year's "Annual New Years Day Topless Run."

Dude, I know you loved your Jeep, but I really thought this was going to be something different!


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Re: Cold weather...
MarkSJohnson #285947 01/08/10 02:53 PM
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All these years, we're been hearing from Mark'S Johnson. When do we get to hear from the man himself?

Re: Cold weather...
pmbuko #285949 01/08/10 03:07 PM
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Hey, I'M the brains in this organization. He ain't got nuthin' to say!


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Re: Cold weather...
MarkSJohnson #285991 01/08/10 09:20 PM
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Don't upset him, he might give you a beating.


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286138 01/09/10 09:26 PM
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Or vice versa.


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Re: Cold weather...
Ajax #286142 01/09/10 11:01 PM
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It's soooo cold....



Our warm weather fish are so lethargic that they are being netted right out of the water. This nice size snook was belly up and netted out of the river earlier today by my son and his friend ... said they grabbed him by the tail and guided him to the net, under normal circumstances this guy wouldn't have been easily caught. They caught several of them along with a couple of tarpon like this, they were all released back into the water.

Our high was around 37 today, unbelievably cold for us.


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #286145 01/09/10 11:21 PM
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Rick. That doesn't sound very good. I hope you don't see mass die offs.


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Re: Cold weather...
fredk #286147 01/09/10 11:31 PM
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37, wow. Heatwave. \:\)

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Re: Cold weather...
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Fred that is a huge concern for us right now, these fish cannot sustain cold water temperatures for any length of time and with the past week of record lows the fear is that our fisheries will be greatly effected. The snook my son is holding is a southern Florida fish and cannot tolerate the cold winters just to the north of us in central Florida, I'm afraid we're going to see die offs all the way down near Miami. Word is the big bend area of the state (north of Tampa) is already seeing huge die offs of mullet ... this ain't looking good.


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #286152 01/09/10 11:50 PM
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Rick, are these fish not able to get to somewhat deeper water where the temp is more stable?


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286211 01/10/10 04:07 AM
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I'm guessing their lakes and waterways are all pretty shallow down there.

Re: Cold weather...
RickF #286225 01/10/10 05:02 AM
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... this ain't looking good. \:\(


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Re: Cold weather...
fredk #286237 01/10/10 03:11 PM
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These are actually salt water coastal fish that live around shallow structure and couldn't get to deeper water soon enough. The areas that have a good deep inlet will probably suffice but our inlet is only 14ft deep and there isn't any offshore structure around here. They can tolerate a day or two of this cold but not the constant barrage we've experienced in the past 7 days.


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Re: Cold weather...
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We finally made it up to 0° with a windchill of -11°. When I put the ribs on the smoker this morning it was -5° and the windchill was -15°.


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Re: Cold weather...
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Smoking frozen ribs? \:D


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #286242 01/10/10 04:25 PM
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Rib-sicles!!


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Re: Cold weather...
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Oh no, the smoker's running fine. It's me that is freezing \:\)


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Re: Cold weather...
Wid #286244 01/10/10 04:31 PM
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Rick-sicles!


On a side note ... I can see where this can go devastatingly wrong. \:D


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Re: Cold weather...
RickF #286249 01/10/10 04:57 PM
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A thread that goes wrong? here?

Oh yeah.....just 'test'ing.


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286251 01/10/10 05:04 PM
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Come to think of it Adrian, you do have a point ... have we ever had an Axiom thread go devastatingly right?

\:D


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Re: Cold weather...
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Yes, but they never go beyond a few posts \:\)


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Re: Cold weather...
jakewash #286377 01/11/10 05:46 PM
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having seen a few fish kills for the opposite reason around here the last few years, I do feel badly about this news.

However, maybe this will make you feel better. Here is the result of the most recent storm on a remote repeating station in Newfoundland.



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Re: Cold weather...
Murph #286396 01/11/10 08:06 PM
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Global warming?


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Re: Cold weather...
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On average, yes.

Re: Cold weather...
pmbuko #286414 01/11/10 09:05 PM
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I'll have to play less Sade then.


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286500 01/12/10 05:07 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Adrian
Global warming?


http://www.junkscience.com/images/paleocarbon.gif

Notice the CO2 levels in this graph and the lack of association with global temperature. Also note the existence of life for millions of years despite CO2 levels and temperatures that vary wildly.

Re: Cold weather...
bigwill2 #286525 01/12/10 09:13 PM
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Interesting, thanks for posting.


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Re: Cold weather...
bigwill2 #286535 01/12/10 09:46 PM
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Mark, I wouldn't trust anything on junkscience.com that relates to climate or the environment, given the person behind it.

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=JunkScience.com

Re: Cold weather...
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I am the Doctor, and THIS... is my SPOON!
Re: Cold weather...
Ken.C #286546 01/12/10 09:59 PM
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And for the people who don't like white-on-black:

http://infobeautiful.s3.amazonaws.com/climate_skeptics_960w.gif

Re: Cold weather...
pmbuko #286561 01/12/10 11:01 PM
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That article supports either argument, it depends where your bias lies.


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286562 01/12/10 11:02 PM
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Not really if you read it closely.


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Re: Cold weather...
Ken.C #286565 01/12/10 11:06 PM
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I read it as presenting both sides of a debate, with the answer likely in the middle somewhere. There is likely a combination of natural as well as man-made effects where the environment is concerned. As with all debates, numbers can be skewed to support one side's beliefs(or not).


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Re: Cold weather...
pmbuko #286571 01/13/10 12:09 AM
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 Originally Posted By: pmbuko
Mark, I wouldn't trust anything on junkscience.com that relates to climate or the environment, given the person behind it.

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=JunkScience.com


OK. Throw out the source. I've seen the same info elsewhere, though. I can find some other sites for you if you don't feel like doing it yourself.

The actual communicative intent of my post remains: historically, CO2 levels and temperatures have been dramatically higher and lower than present time. Repeatedly. Nevertheless, life continues to thrive. The sky is not falling.

It's taking a lot of effort to undo the brainwashing of our younger generation. \:D

Re: Cold weather...
bigwill2 #286604 01/13/10 06:27 AM
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Climate change is a normal thing. It has been since the dawn of time. Why so many people beieve we should spend billions of $$$ in a futile effort to make things stay the same while costing the lives countless people from hunger and disease is totally beyond me. One world government based on a carbon-credit economy I guess! \:D
My solution . . . tshirt for warm days, sweater for colder and a jacket cold days. And if it gets REALLY hot . . . lots of beer. ;\)

Not to feel left out, I'll throw in another website address . . . Climate Depot

Last edited by 80'sMan; 01/13/10 06:28 AM.

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Re: Cold weather...
80'sMan #286606 01/13/10 06:44 AM
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 Originally Posted By: 80’sMan

One world government based on a carbon-credit economy I guess! \:D


You might be laughing now. . . .


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Re: Cold weather...
grunt #286613 01/13/10 02:35 PM
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It's all about power and control.

Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286615 01/13/10 02:40 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Adrian
As with all debates, numbers can be skewed to support one side's beliefs(or not).


Figures don't lie, but liar's sure can figure.


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Re: Cold weather...
Sloped #286658 01/13/10 06:50 PM
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wow, this place has changed...






...or, has public opinion changed? ;\)

Re: Cold weather...
bigwill2 #286669 01/13/10 07:54 PM
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Well, I'm still convinced that the weather patterns are definitely changing and not in a healthy way. Is it caused by man, just a passing natural phase or a result of both? I'm not sure we have the technology and knowledge to say for certain but when I try to build a mental picture of how many cars are driving around the world right now (including mine) and how many other sources on gasses that are not 'natural' to the history of the eco-system because they never existed at all or in these quantities before we started producing them..... I have a hard time believing from a totally subjective view, that we are not having some sort of effect.


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Re: Cold weather...
Murph #286681 01/13/10 08:22 PM
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Ironically, one of the worst contributors to this problem is from livestock, mainly cows.


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286684 01/13/10 08:25 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Adrian
Ironically, one of the worst contributors to this problem is from livestock, mainly cows.


We could have a huge BBQ.


Rick


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Re: Cold weather...
Wid #286685 01/13/10 08:27 PM
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B-O-C!!! \:D


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Re: Cold weather...
Adrian #286686 01/13/10 08:39 PM
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"Honey, I want steak tonight. You know, to help save the environment!"


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Murph #286689 01/13/10 09:14 PM
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I accept these as science fact:

1. Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas.
2. Largely due to the burning of fossil fuels, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are rising.

To me, it logically follows that as a result, the Earth's surface temperature will rise, and therefore, I have some concern about global warming. Of course, I don't know how much the temperature will go up, or what effect it will have. I think that it's reasonable to continue to scientifically try to predict that, and in the meantime, it's understandable that our elected officials and policymakers will debate what is exactly going on and what we should do about it.

The best starting point I have found for people who don't seem to appreciate the CO2 issue is this info-cartoon from National Geographic: Carbon Bathtub. I suggest reading the brief article first and then checking out the graphic.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
medic8r #286695 01/13/10 10:12 PM
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Even this abbreviated (in terms of the earth's history) and truncated graph shows, to me, a normal recurring pattern.

If the graph extended back millions of years the little fluctuations that are made to appear huge here would look pretty trivial.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Co2-temperature-plot.svg

Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
bigwill2 #286735 01/14/10 03:13 AM
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Ah, a politics thread. No, wait, science. No, that's not it, either. Hmmm...

Humans and yeast emit CO2, right? So, our very existence is contributing to our ultimate demise? I am polluting! Aaaahhhhh!

I don't kneel at the altar of science. The hand-wringing over Global Warming - no, wait, now it's Climate Change - is predicated upon accepting certain hypotheses as fact.
  • The earth's climate is warming at an abnormal rate
  • Mankind's behaviour is contributing to this warming
  • This warming will lead to widespread human suffering
  • No current or future humans will be able to mitigate the impending disaster

On a really basic level, I'm just not sure that I believe any of those things.

People who are dear to me have rightly asked "so, what's the harm in being more efficient? In burning fewer fossil fuels?"

Of course, there is no inherent harm in Mankind changing its behaviour to that end, but solutions are not so simple.

The current quality of Mankind's way of life depends upon energy consumption. Unless you are willing to abandon the current nation/state principle established over the last 500 years - and, I would contend, the entire concept of Democracy - there is no way to ensure that vast populations on other continents won't simply take the place of the USA as the world's primary polluter.

Look, I'm hopeful and I'm prudent. I'm just not willing to sacrifice the American Way of Life so that wealth can be transferred to other parts of the globe. Honestly, for me, it really does come down to not only national sovereignty, but also what our ancestors worked and fought for. I don't share the opinion that Americans need to be punished economically to save the world.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286736 01/14/10 03:21 AM
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Very well put Tom. I must agree my beliefs align pretty much in line with yours.


Rick


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
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Careful, Rick. Unless you want to get burned at the stake along with me. ;\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Wid #286739 01/14/10 03:37 AM
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Fortunetly this is not a political, religious debate or even worse just a position based on belief though that is where these discussions usually go...however if one was so inclined they can read peer reviewed research articles from credible scholarly sources from all over the world and I am not talking about information from governments, political officials or special interest groups. That is the best way to get informed on this topic.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
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If that's what it takes Tom, I'm with ya.


Rick


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286746 01/14/10 04:00 AM
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 Originally Posted By: tomtuttle

I don't kneel at the altar of science.

There's always time to repent, Brother Tom.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Wid #286749 01/14/10 04:03 AM
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Global warming....drink more cold ones.

Global cooling....turn off fridge to save energy, put beers in snowbank.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286751 01/14/10 04:08 AM
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 Originally Posted By: Adrian
Global warming....drink more cold ones.

Global cooling....turn off fridge to save energy, put beers in snowbank.


But what about the hot tub??? ...easy way to get a girl naked \:\/ . I'll sacrifice the earth just this one time \:D ...


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
BlueJays1 #286755 01/14/10 04:36 AM
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Your all Heart, Doc!! \:D


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286756 01/14/10 04:41 AM
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\:D


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
BlueJays1 #286759 01/14/10 05:39 AM
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I just want to be one of the schmucks who dies of natural causes on the same day the planet explodes.

Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
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Global warming is *finally* coming back to south Florida after a twelve day deep freeze ... 70s tomorrow and 80 by Saturday!

Tom, I'll also burn at the stake with you. \:\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
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You guys have got top stop burning your steaks, medium rare is much better \:\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
jakewash #286775 01/14/10 08:16 AM
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Great comments Tom! Far to many people on all political sides don’t think through the consequences of pursuing there beliefs to the Nth degree.

In a grad course on the sociology of science I remember reading many peer reviewed articles which clearly established that continents don’t drift.

In a graduate seminar on the sociology of science and technology I walked in late as 7 of the 8 other members were sitting around a table debating the meaning of the brief peer reviewed journal article the professor just handed out. I skimmed it quickly. I then read it a little more closely because I didn‘t understand it despite actually have a fairly good vocabulary. Then I reread it trying to figure out what the hell it really said all the while the debate had erupted into a full blown argument.

When I finally got a chance to talk I said something like “This thing is a joke, it reads like ‘Jabberwocky.’” Well nothing like a common enemy to unite people. They jumped all over me. Then Bruce, the class hippy, chimed in and said “Dean right this is a load of crap.” He and I spent the next 10 minutes or so defending our heretical statements against an onslaught from the previously warring factions, until the professor handed out a follow up article by the same author in which he explains the original article was completely devoid of any meaning and that he only wrote it to prove he could get anything published in a peer reviewed journal if he wanted.

The idea of the “dispassionate scientist” sifting through “facts” to discover some “truths” about the world is a complete myth. While I believe “science” does quite well dealing with many things the minute power and influence come into play “scientists” tend to fall pray to human nature no differently than the high priests of a religion or the leaders of political parties. Human nature being what it may is seldom stifled by the trappings of a profession. So once the issue becomes a media darling and power/politics become involved IMO the good “science” goes out the window.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
grunt #286777 01/14/10 10:06 AM
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I agree with every point you made there Tom.

As for there being consensus on the matter within the "Scientific community" (whatever that is), I would say that getting good scientists to agree on anything is much like trying to get a bunch of good engineers to come up with the same solution to a problem - doable with something reasonably simple, almost impossible with something complex. Just look at the various debates around audio systems for a great example.

No offence intended for scientists or engineers here, it's just human nature.

BTW - could any of you guys send some snow down here to Victoria, we just had 3 days above 40 degrees Celcius. I can't wait for some of that global cooling to come down our way.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286782 01/14/10 01:15 PM
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Disgustingly rational, as usual, Tom. ;\)

I believe we humans do have an effect on the environment. The question is my mind is, what, and how serious, is the result of that effect.

Regardless, I am in favor of reducing our dependence on fossil fuels if for no other reason than we don't have a native supply sufficient for our needs and must rely on the resources of others, some of whom would prefer we would just disappear in a puff of smoke and are likely supporting efforts to achieve that very end.

I long for the day (and, regrettably will never see it in my lifetime) when we say "thanks, but no thanks. You can drink your oil for all we care." If reducing our dependence on others has a salubrious effect on the environment, so much the better.


Jack

"People generally quarrel because they cannot argue." - G. K. Chesterton
Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Ajax #286784 01/14/10 01:58 PM
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salubrious...."promoting health or welfare. healthful, wholesome, salutary"
uhhh, just for uhhh, those who weren't sure what the word meant.

The "Green Movement" has almost become cult-like in some circles where if you don't agree with it, or ask questions you are labelled a non-believer. I've seen and heard people like David Suzuki stating their case on the Business Network here and when asked the tough questions by the host, who was a realist and respectful of his opinion, he became noticably irritated and angry and offered NO meaningful solutions. In fact, I understand that Suzuki walked off the air when radio host John Oakley respectfully asked him some tough questions. People are looking for answers, that is why they ask questions, and don't like to be "shut-up" with rebuttals like..."well, you don't understand because you're not a climatologist"...akin to playing "the race card" designed to minimize ones opinion or make it irrelevant. I have to say it quite irritates me when these guys who are out to "save the world", don't consider the millions of people just trying to make ends meet while they charge hundreds of thousands of dollars for speeches and fly around the world in jets or wave their flags from their ships which are constantly burning up thousands of gallons of diesel fuel.

How much of this is politically motivated or is it just the latest "cause-du-jour"?


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286796 01/14/10 04:34 PM
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Thanks, Dean. Great story.

Excellent point, Jack. "National Security" remains a valid concept for me, and I would absolutely agree that energy independence is a huge and growing problem in that regard.

Adrian, I don't mind being labeled a "non-believer". And, though it is standard party political procedure, I do resent it when Greens (or other extremists) dismiss detractors as stupid or evil. It's "better" to be a teacher or at least a participant than simply be intellectually arrogant.

Perhaps it would be more fun - more constructive - for us to brainstorm ways in which our families could make positive changes in this area without continuing to strive for consensus over the bigger picture.

For my own part, I am trying very hard to avoid buying new stuff. I recognize that consumerism (and especially the related manufacturing) takes an enormous amount of energy. We drive our cars a LONG time, for instance.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286812 01/14/10 05:32 PM
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My Momma told me never to discuss politics or religion unless I wanted to fight.......having said that, to Tom I would say.....Right ON!

Last edited by Argon; 01/14/10 05:33 PM.

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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286813 01/14/10 05:40 PM
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Jack & Tom when I attended university at UW Madison I got into countless debates with “greens” and always brought up the question of why they didn’t try harder to enlist the help of the ‘hawks” (also posed the opposite question to the hawks) seeing as their goals could be complementary if we reduced out dependence on imported energy. No one could ever give a rational answer.

My experience there supports Adrian’s assertion of the cult like nature of many of these people. For anyone interested in this version of groupthink I highly recommend reading Thomas Sowell’s book:

The Vision of the Anointed: Self-Congratulation as a Basis for Social Policy

Thomas Sowell is an easy interesting read. I even went to see him speak at U.W. Madison. However, a group of freedom loving open minded lefties attended just so they could shout him down when he tried to speak. The university didn’t stop them because they were exercising their right to free speech. I guess Mr. Sowell and the group sponsoring him weren’t.

Don’t read me incorrectly. I despise the far right as much as the far left as IMO they are exactly the same in their thinking due to similar social psychological motivations. I read a paper done by some researchers at a Mid Western university (can’t remember were) in the 1980s in which they ostensibly re-conducted a psychological survey from the 1930 to gauge how responses changed from one era to another . In reality they were looking at how political affiliation effected the scoring of the respondents. They found that as with most things people fell along a standard curve with the left and right political extremes scoring equally high. What they didn’t tell the respondents was the that the test they took was a screening examination for officer candidates in the Schutzstaffel

Please note that I am not suggesting that everyone who believes/supports a particular cause fits into the above categories. Just that a significant enough number of people do to scare the hell out of me.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
grunt #286833 01/14/10 06:18 PM
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Jeez, Dean, I didn't know they admitted your ilk at Madison. ;\)

Thanks for the tip on the Sowell book! I completely agree with you about being scared spitless by the extreme left AND the extreme right.

I agree with your Momma, Argon. It was with no small amount of trepidation that I chose to participate in this discussion. But, we are largely a civil bunch, and I do enjoy learning from everyone.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286836 01/14/10 06:23 PM
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Who wants to be LEADAH of the EXTREME MIDDLE?


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286837 01/14/10 06:37 PM
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Dean,

Thanks for the book tip. Personally I avoid talking about the left or the right, as I find it too constrictive doing so. What I can't tolerate is totalitarianism (from either end of the scale).

RE: Cult like impressions of the green movement. Without sounding too much like a nutter, I do think the environmental movement of old has been hijacked by some totalitarian type forces (left or right, I can't tell). When we have political figures talking about the need to suspend democracy and so forth, my BS meter goes berserk.

Tom, I agree completely. The one good thing I have seen come out of what I consider to be a fraud has been that people are actually giving more thought into what actually goes into producing what they buy. The end of the disposable society? I hope so.

Here's a neat psuedo science experiment for you all. Get a glass of water and put some ice cubes in it. Let the ice melt. Did the water level rise? Nope. Why? because ice has more volume than the water used to create it (talk to geologists and they'll explain how this effect actually breaks rocks apart over time).

So the melting ice caps will result in a 60 metre rise in sea levels? Huh?


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
madjak #286849 01/14/10 07:22 PM
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I seem to recall it isn't the ice already floating in the water they are concerned with, I would hope as scientists they are aware of the effect of volume displacment. IIRC, it is the Antarctic ice cap and the Glaciers not in the water, this is where some scientists say the rise in sea levels will come from.

I don't think I have ever heard anything about a 60M rise in sea levels though, more like 5M, just enough to wipe out most of the coastal regions and islands we know now.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
madjak #286850 01/14/10 07:58 PM
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Socialists like my money even more than capitalists. ;\)

Besides it’s a land grant institution so it doesn’t give them much of a choice. They must even allow ROTC on campus.

I rather enjoyed attending that school after the initial shock of how narrow minded and egotistical academia had become in the years since I’d been gone. I loved eviscerating the lefties’ reasoning every chance I got. Most of their arguments were based on emotion rather than reason plus they always made the mistake of underestimating my knowledge and “real world” experience because I was just a “beach storming blockhead” or “baby killer” in their eyes. Add to that I’d been debating politics with people far older than me and winning since I was about 8 years old and those poor under-educated U.S. saps didn’t stand a chance.

I think the stupidest thing I ever saw there had to do with dwarves and parking meters. The city council, in response to complaints from 3 little people spent $150,000 to lop a couple feet off every down town parking meter because these three people complained they couldn’t reach high enough to use them. When some people complained and asked why they didn’t just issue them parking passes and allow them to pay on an honour system the response was “that treating them like that would make them feel different from other people.”

 Originally Posted By: madjak

Thanks for the book tip. Personally I avoid talking about the left or the right, as I find it too constrictive doing so. What I can't tolerate is totalitarianism (from either end of the scale).


When I use to discuss politics with people, mistakenly thinking most people were receptive to others’ ideas and reasoned arguments, I often used a piece of paper to illustrate your point of left/right totalitarianism. I’d draw a standard curve on the paper with the horizontal axis representing the left to right political spectrum. I’d then roll it so the left/right edges were touching and explain that the real political divide in this country is not between the left and right but rather between the totalitarians at the extremes and the majority in the middle who just want to be left alone.

It’s interesting how group dynamics effect organizing for collective action and how it often favors these small radical minorities allowing them to wield far more political power than there numbers should indicate. Mancur Olson covers this topic well in his book The Logic of Collective Action. "The logic" is a rather dry read so if interested in his theories his book The Rise and Decline of Nations: Economic Growth, Stagflation, and Social Rigidities is more accessible.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
grunt #286851 01/14/10 08:13 PM
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Grunt, Jakewash,

Yep, the piece of paper demo illustrates my thoughts entirely. When people believe the end justifies the means, we get in all sorts of trouble.

The concern I have these days is now that the whole AGW thing is coming undone, that Joe sixpack won't believe anything from any scientists for a long time. This is my biggest concern. Maybe he will have a short memory?

Here's a link you may find interesting:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2009/mar/08/climate-change-flooding

Quoting the IPCC (which is a political body, not a scientific one, IMHO).

I am more than happy to be proven wrong as I am more interested in getting facts than being right or wrong.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286852 01/14/10 08:17 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Adrian
Who wants to be LEADAH of the EXTREME MIDDLE?


I think anyone who volanteers should automatically be disqualified. Let's conscript someone instead.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
jakewash #286854 01/14/10 08:20 PM
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 Originally Posted By: jakewash
I seem to recall it isn't the ice already floating in the water they are concerned with, I would hope as scientists they are aware of the effect of volume displacment. IIRC, it is the Antarctic ice cap and the Glaciers not in the water, this is where some scientists say the rise in sea levels will come from.

I don't think I have ever heard anything about a 60M rise in sea levels though, more like 5M, just enough to wipe out most of the coastal regions and islands we know now.


Yep.

The ice-in-the-glass observation is indeed true for north-pole ice. Arctic ice floats on top of the Arctic ocean. It could all melt and sea levels wouldn't change.

But the same doesn't hold true for Greenland and Antarctica. Both of which consist of vast ice sheets on top of land. That ice isn't floating. If all that ice were to melt, global sea levels would rise significantly. No, it wouldn't be Water World but it would certainly suck for the majority of the Earth's population that just so happens to live in coastal areas.




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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
PeterChenoweth #286856 01/14/10 08:35 PM
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Peter,

Understood, but the antarctic isn't melting anywhere near like the north pole was/is/whatever.

It's interesting to note that some of the early explorers to the antarctic (early 1900s) recorded seeing land down there which is not visible today (due to ice).

It's also interesting to hear about villages in Greenland being uncovered under the retreating ice.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
madjak #286881 01/14/10 10:45 PM
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I just read through this whole thing assuming that every post by madjak was written by Adrian.

You guys have to use dissimilar avatars.





Because I said so, that's why.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
MarkSJohnson #286883 01/14/10 10:48 PM
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You better re-read the whole thread again, Mark, now that you know.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286893 01/14/10 11:36 PM
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You have to send Mark a pm to get him to do anything, Adrian.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286898 01/14/10 11:47 PM
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Hmmm, does that mean he needs a pm with instructions to read his pm's?

Actually, the avatar thing is a secret ploy between me and madjack to confuse the crap out of Mark...it seems to be working so far....

Last edited by Adrian; 01/14/10 11:49 PM.

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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
MarkSJohnson #286900 01/14/10 11:49 PM
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 Originally Posted By: MarkSJohnson
I just read through this whole thing assuming that every post by madjak was written by Adrian.


WTF?!

Thanks for bringing that up Mark, I would have never noticed ... must be the climate change giving me brain dysfunction.

Yea, that's what it is. ;\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
RickF #286903 01/14/10 11:51 PM
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Uh oh! another one....OK!....preferences....


How's that? since we are on a global warming thread I've blocked out the sun....can you feel it cooling down again Rick?

Last edited by Adrian; 01/14/10 11:55 PM.

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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286904 01/14/10 11:53 PM
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I wasn't going to mention it BUT I did the same as Mark and Rick. One of you fellows got to change.


Rick


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Wid #286906 01/15/10 12:05 AM
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I really hurt my eyes looking at your new avatar!


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286909 01/15/10 12:11 AM
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 Originally Posted By: tomtuttle
I really hurt my eyes looking at your new avatar!


New? You must be getting old Tom.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
tomtuttle #286915 01/15/10 01:03 AM
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 Originally Posted By: tomtuttle
I really hurt my eyes looking at your new avatar!


I just noticed Adrians new avatar...........duh.


Rick


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Wid #286941 01/15/10 04:23 AM
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Nobody is going to attack The Guardian as a biased source? LOL You can't believe anything you read there. ;\)

Some portion of the worlds ice will melt in a period of warming. In the subsequent cooling period, more moisture will again be captive in glaciers. So it goes.

The pernicious idea that earth will become like Venus unless we halt all economic activity and become vegans is enough for me to dismiss those loons. "Greenhouse gasses" is still part of the official vocabulary, right?

Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
bigwill2 #286972 01/15/10 11:40 AM
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Adrian,

You were probably here first, so I've changed to something else.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
madjak #286973 01/15/10 11:42 AM
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This time

Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #286978 01/15/10 02:05 PM
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I'm glad this thread has come back to some middle ground. I left it for a while as it was swinging dangerously close to the far edges of political views. Not that that is a bad thing, unless civility is lost, just that I agree that not much gets accomplished on either side of that swing.

Speaking of fuels only for a second, and leaving world weather out of it, I'd be interested to hear more on what people think would happen if a new 100% green, 100% renewable energy source was announced as being invented tomorrow.

Personally, I would love to see a clean, self sustaining replacement for fossil fuels. It's hard to argue that pollution is not a bad thing and that our reliance on a diminishing (yes, the rate can be debated but lets leave that aside for a sec.) fuel source can and will continue to, cause issues.

I do not think that has to mean the end of a particular way of life but I can definitely see where the fears lie and depending on where and who invents it, it could be justified. In a world of trademarks and patents and where control over technology is equal to wealth and power, it's easy to envision a power-shift or a struggle that gets out of hand if such a technology is perfected.

The first big effect.
While I have no desire to see jobs lost, I'd have no problem seeing oil conglomerates lose their market over time. They have way too much control over the worldwide pricing of their own product and I'm certain that at the high levels, enough money has been made that they can still live out their lives a lot more comfortable than the rest of us.

However, I think that even if the invention is an instant 'eureka moment' the shift won't happen in a day and they will have time to adapt or even take control of the greener technologies (although I'd personally rather see it reside elsewhere.)

Even if a totally green, cost effective power was invented tomorrow, it would take forever to implement nation wide, much less world wide. While it might be cost effective in relation to energy production, the new technology will be most certainly expensive. These questions and points remain.

- Despite many energy advances, many nations are still relying on coal. Could they afford to go green even if it was there?

- Even in a Utopia where the government offers consumer incentives, govs can not risk bankrupting themselves. So how long will it take before anyone but the upper class can afford the new technology. Then eventually the upper middle, middle and so on. What happens to the poor family who can't afford to fill their oil tank in the winter, much less replace it while the fuel delivery businesses convert to the new tech or go out of business because it is no longer lucrative. A total switchover is hopefully coming someday, but it must be done at a pace that allows for gov. aid and incentives so that the little guys do not get left behind.

- Will the energy transmission infrastructure have to be completely changed or can electric companies adapt or will every car & household be able to provide their own energy? Again, I bet the transformation will be agonizingly slow. Too fast, the fears of economic issues come true, but at an acceptable pace, the economy simply shifts from the old to the new.

- How would the ownership of the new tech be shared worldwide? Question, would the US (or any nation) be willing to go to Haiti tomorrow and build a new power plant from this newly invented magic tech. (pretending for a moment it existed) or would it be keeping it within it's borders, citing legal issues and such, in order to gain edge in power over their enemies or competing trade nations.

- What happens in the middle east if oil becomes instantly worthless. Again, the "instantly" part is simply not going to happen. I don't pretend to be able to guess how many years a total transformation to a new green energy would take, but I'd again suggest it will take a long time. However, the vision of it becoming worthless would start to take hold.

-- How will the economy shift. Does it have to crash? I don't think it 'has' to. If my less than expertise guess that a transition would be very slow is true, then I suspect that there would be some initial unrest but that eventually jobs would shift into the production of the new tech, equipement and it's delivery. Eventually, competing versions will be developed that get around the initial 'super-patent' and that will divert more industry, spending, jobs etc.

Car factories are already revamping for the slow market for electric cars. So, we know they can adapt slowly but how quickly could they adapt to new super fuel invention? Again, it could mean some don't survive but an optimistic view is that others will divert or create new jobs as new factories are build or revamped. Impossible to predict for sure.

- What happens to the pricing of goods?
Take the auto industry again for example. What happens when the immense costs of energy are removed from their budgets? Big corporations will likely be the first to adopt a new efficient but initially expensive technology, simply because they can afford it. After implementation costs are removes, I'd hazard that the net cost to produce a car will be reduced by an amazing amount of money.

However, will that savings eventually be passed on to the consumer? We certainly know that traditionally, it's very rare to see a company say, "Oh hey, we are lowering our prices because oil went down this month and we wan't to pass the savings on to you." Increasing prices due to oil price increases however are commonplace. The currency exchange rates are another example. We certainly didn't see any savings here in Canada for local prices when products could be bought much cheaper in the US when our dollar was doing well.

Competition will drive savings to the consumer eventually but again, I'd say it will take it's sweet old time.


OK, my totally boring conference call is over so it's back to real work. If you are actually silly enough to still be reading this over sized post. Remember, I'm posing questions, not arguing for either side you might see as radical.

To summarize: Green, renewable tech will be an important achievement for mankind. I think, even hope, that it will not be an instant transformation. Experts will never agree on what the short term effects will be at a society level. There are simply too many questions and it's based on way to many variables. Two of the largest being 'time to implement' and how much of a commodity it becomes vs. the pleasant but unlikely "overnight savior of the world" theory.

Environment aside (as I promised I'd do,) I'm guessing the best social eventuality lies somewhere in the middle.




Last edited by Murph; 01/15/10 02:20 PM. Reason: added final thought

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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Murph #287008 01/15/10 05:52 PM
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Emily Latella:: I don't know what all the fuss is about CLIMAX Change!?! It is a perfectly normal thing.....


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Argon #287028 01/15/10 07:22 PM
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Right now there are huge incentives 50% of purchase price or more, potential selling back of extra energy produced and potential tax breaks, though home equity loans, for buying solar power here in Arizona making the price very affordable. I could mount the system on my back fence and make it so it tracks the sun for optimal electrical generation. And we do tend to get a lot of sun here in Phoenix, “The Valley of the Sun.”

However, from an investment standpoint it’s a bad one right now. Going solar was one of the first things I looked into when I bought my house because I hate the idea of being slaved to huge monopoly owned government regulated (worst of both worlds) electrical grid. But, best case scenario for me (no equity in my home to borrow against) the most likely return on investment I could achieve over the life of a system is about 2%. While the worst (safest) investment instrument I’m presently using has and ROI of 4 % the best was over 30% last year because of the depressed state of the stock market. So for me it’s not a matter of costing to much up front but rather it just being a bad investment unless something changes. As for solar water heating, natural gas is so cheap here I wouldn’t even consider it.

I would still love to have my own solar power and heat capability just for peace of mind, but for now it’d be a waste of my money.

My biggest reason for alternative energy sources still based on national security. Imagine if the 911 terrorists hadn’t been stuck in their typical narrow-minded headline grabbing doctrine. What if instead they had crashed the planes into 4 of the 5 major oil refineries serving the U.S. Even if the actual damage had not been crippling the ensuing economic panic would have been massive. I assure you that many areas of the U.S. would have declared martial law.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
grunt #287042 01/15/10 08:42 PM
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Grunt,

I like the idea of home based wind turbines. The area we live can get pretty windy, and I understand some of the 1KW wind turbines available now are extremely quiet and they'll run 24X7. The only problem is that local councils would give me a hard time for installing them.

I too like the idea of not being reliant on the big end of town for the basics. Here in Australia, with the amount of sun we get, I really like the idea of solar panels on every home roof. I understand some of the new techs coming out are in fact roof tiles which act as PV units. If this can be manufactured cheaply enough, then we're looking at a great way to prevent having to build a large number of new power stations.

Murph,

I am assuming by 100% green and cheap you mean green from both a manufacturing perspective as well as a maintenance perspective. If there was such a thing, it would be fantastic, however, I think the best bet is finding the most efficient option to what is in use currently.
As for coal use, even though it's a controversial thing to say, Nuclear power has got to be a well considered option for replacing coal stations, IMHO.
I think you will find the oil companies would be some for the first to jump on board with a new tech like that - after all, all businesses must evolve right?


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
madjak #287067 01/15/10 10:16 PM
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 Originally Posted By: madjak

As for coal use, even though it's a controversial thing to say, Nuclear power has got to be a well considered option for replacing coal stations, IMHO.

I think it's only controversial amongst certain "groups". In fact Nuclear Power would already have weened the free world off of foreign oil had these "groups" not set the industry back, what, a couple of decades. There is a lot of misinformation about the Nuclear industry imo, praying on people's fears. The initial cost and time to build a Nuclear plant is quite great, but fuelling them is very cheap and efficient beyond the initial cost. The waste materials must obviously, be dealt with in a responsible manner. China seems to be forward thinking and is currently building some 20 or so plants with more to come where other nations twiddle their thumbs and spend millions, if not billions, on feasablity studies wasting time and money.

There are a number of possibilities out there, but when the majority of people learn how much extra they will end up paying, above what they are accustomed to, more than likely they will balk and most of the alternatives.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #287078 01/15/10 11:44 PM
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While nuclear power is certainly a viable option for many purposes I don’t like it as a general replacement for fossil fuel for a reason not generally associated with the hysteria of the anti-nuclear movement. The centralized nature of it’s production and high startup costs which invariably mean it’s going to be big companies (read monopolies) and heavily government regulated both of which are completely at odds with personal liberties bothers me. I could see it being used for supporting large industrial parks and even large built up cities where other options may not be viable but I’d rather see more localized even individualized power generation especially in the wide open places like Arizona.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
grunt #287079 01/15/10 11:58 PM
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Thorium reactors seem to be an interesting alternative to traditional uranium reactors. I'd be interested in seeing more research towards those. Unfortunately, Grunt's issues still remain.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Ken.C #287151 01/16/10 06:06 PM
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I'm feeling guilty for speeding yesterday. I'm going to buy some carbon credits from Gore to make up for it. - sorry, pointles jab. I need to refrain from this thread. Having a career tied to power generation, and the oil and gas industry makes me too biased…..

I will say that Tom summed up my feelings to a T.

Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
michael_d #287154 01/16/10 07:14 PM
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I knew this was coming, looks like the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission is going to impose some fisheries closures due to the massive fish kills from the recent cold weather ... FWC responds to widespread cold-weather saltwater fish kills. Word around the rumor mill is that the current snook closure 'til September of this year may extend upwards of three to five years, that's a hit for us.

Good news is that I'm hearing the sailfish are hot and heavy at the moment, if we can only get some decent seas offshore.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
Adrian #287156 01/16/10 08:15 PM
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Here's an interesting link

It looks like NASA and GISS have joined the University of East Anglia with "climate gate".

http://joannenova.com.au/2010/01/climategate-arrives-in-the-us/


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
madjak #287224 01/17/10 05:02 PM
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wow, lots of cool links off of the one provided. thanks.

Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
bigwill2 #287243 01/17/10 06:57 PM
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Alright. I have resisted posting so far, but...

If a baby once drowned in a bathtub does that make all bathtubs murderous devices that should be banned from the planet? Not likely.

I think that describes the current 'climate gate' scandal quite well.

We now have more than 50 years of research and data and it all points in the same direction. Humans have had a direct impact on the global climate making it warmer.

Some of the theories on the mechanisms behind the warming have pr oven wrong, but the basic premise has not.

The 'debate' over global warming is more like a war. There is a winner and a looser. Nobody gets points for playing nice and over the last 30 years, the scientific community has learned how to play the same hardball private interests have been playing for years.

Take a look at big pharma. The have been fudging the data for less promising drugs for a long time. The tobacco industry is another fine example of the rules of engagement for this sort of debate/war.

What does this mean? It means that you can pretty much throw out the stuff crap from the mainstream media that passes for news these days, switch on your brain really read what is published.

The current climate gate is just another front in the war.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
fredk #287245 01/17/10 07:19 PM
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An interesting report I heard last night, which describes the probable cause of the cold weather. Despite what I had been thinking, it's not related to climate change--it's the Arctic oscillation. The Arctic is up by some 10-15 degrees this winter.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=122649916

BTW, discarding anomalous data points and drawing graphs is standard practice in just about ever science out there.


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Re: Cold Weather and Global Warming Thread
fredk #287256 01/17/10 08:44 PM
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 Originally Posted By: fredk
It means that you can pretty much throw out the stuff crap from the mainstream media that passes for news these days, switch on your brain really read what is published.


Fred, I agree totally. The Lamestream media are utterly useless down here anyways. The news is really just entertainment and gossip now.

I am on the other side of the fence, but on that point I agree with you 100%.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Ken.C #287275 01/17/10 11:11 PM
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 Originally Posted By: kcarlile
An interesting report I heard last night, which describes the probable cause of the cold weather. Despite what I had been thinking, it's not related to climate change--it's the Arctic oscillation. The Arctic is up by some 10-15 degrees this winter.

It's not quite the same, but one of my neighbours told me he saw a story on the news that "True North" has been on the move as well, I believe he said something in the area of 65 to 100 kilometres per year. I have no idea when 'they' started recording this type of data...just wondering if anyone heard a story like this.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #287278 01/17/10 11:56 PM
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Oh, yes, it is. Has been for years. They can tell the record from rock samples, I believe. It's reversed several times over the millenia, but those are usually quite sudden, from what researchers know.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Ken.C #287280 01/18/10 12:50 AM
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I think your both confusing True North and Magnetic North. True North never moves in relation to the earth only to other objects in space.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
grunt #287285 01/18/10 01:52 AM
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Ah, you're right. I knew there was something that was sticking out there that didn't look quite right. I meant magnetic north. True north moving... that might be a bit of a problem.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Ken.C #287302 01/18/10 04:15 AM
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Judging by everything I've read, there seems to be a much stronger correlation between Marx and global warming hysteria than there is between CO2 and global temperatures. \:\)

When you want to get in a chicks pants, is it really just because of the strong emotional bond that you feel...? LMAO

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
bigwill2 #287304 01/18/10 05:06 AM
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The movement does seem to be a haven for a lot of “recovering” socialists. ;\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
grunt #287309 01/18/10 05:49 AM
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Green is the new Red. Heheh...


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287311 01/18/10 05:55 AM
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Grunt - here's one that will surely get a rise from the warmistas.

http://joannenova.com.au/global-warming/climategate-30-year-timeline/

Hide the decline, take the money...


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287405 01/18/10 07:35 PM
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LOL! Very good, Madjak!


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
tomtuttle #287410 01/18/10 07:59 PM
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Funny thing is this whole “Climategate” scandal has been reported for years. I first read about it in one of P. J. O’Rourk’s books, I think it was “Eat the Rich.” He relates the story of a major climate researcher giving a talk at the climate summit in Rio. When referring to the interpretation of climate studies to his fellow “scientists” he said that each of us must decide whether to be “honest or effective.” It’s only recently that the mainstream media has been forced to even talk about the issue.

BTW, O’Rourk’s books like “Eat the Rich,” “Give War a Chance” and “Parliament of Whores” are all great reads.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
grunt #287413 01/18/10 08:13 PM
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If anyone dug up climategate-like info between say, a couple of companies like Suncor and Exxon, the media would have been all over them like a fungus.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #287438 01/18/10 09:46 PM
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Grunt,

Yep, and the suspicions have been there for ages. Of course, we now have the confessions (and their own source code) in their own words, which is just sweet. I'll add those ones to my reading list.

Just FYI - the media here in Australia gave climategate a fleeting couple of minutes on a morning show and that was it. Many Aussies and Kiwis have no idea about it (or it's impact). We still have a PM quoting Al Gore.

Meanwhile, we've been getting snow falls in the middle of summer down here in Victoria (after about 4 days of +40c temps). I just love global cooling.

Still, when my speakers arrive I can recluse into some great movies. I can't wait to see what the last few scenes of "The Island" sound like....


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287442 01/18/10 10:21 PM
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When I lived in New Zealand in the mid 80s I noticed the news coverage was just a tad slanted to the left. While I met plenty of Kiwis who were conservative, mostly military and cops, most of the others I met were decidedly left. Now that may have been a byproduct of dating university age girls. ;\)

The Nuclear Free Zone thing was big news when I was there. Carried a slight anti-U.S. sentiment with it also, but when I talked with people about it they had no real understanding of the issues it was purely an emotional thing for them. I wonder if the rise of the internet has opened up some minds or are they as many do just searching the new to validate what they already want to believe.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
grunt #287450 01/18/10 11:42 PM
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Hi Grunt,

I hope you enjoyed your time in NZ (I am a NZer). Yes, there was and is a very strong left emphasis there, I suspect this is becoming more pronounced as many Kiwis leave NZ for Australia and other places like we did. This used to be a temporary thing, but has become much more permanent now. Most of my immediate family have "skipped the ditch" now.

NZ is a really beautiful place and well worth a visit. It just seems to be losing a lot of working class people.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287458 01/19/10 01:04 AM
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Loved my year and a half in Wellington. Despite an attitude from the occasional young lefty I felt no real animosity toward the U.S. when I lived there unlike some other counties. On the contrary the older generation was very positive toward us especially because of the Marine Corps presence during WWII.

I really liked the lifestyle at the time. Wellington got it’s first super market and AFAIK drive through restaurant while I was there so the pace of life was still nice and laidback. There’s something to be said for knowing you’re butcher, baker, dairy delivery man and brew master while not living in a small enough town that everyone knows your business.

I especially enjoyed the Wellington Hash House Harriers. One of the best Hashes I’ve ever been with.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
grunt #287481 01/19/10 03:26 AM
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Climategate.... sigh

Why do they call controversies or scandals [term]-gate? The Watergate scandal had nothing to do with water....

I drove by the Watergate Hotel this afternoon. Made me think of this.

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
pmbuko #287497 01/19/10 05:06 AM
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The same reason I call every girl I like Mrs. Tharp, even though they'll have nothing to do with me. It's just fun.

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
CV #287514 01/19/10 06:28 AM
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You are an interesting person.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
CV #287599 01/19/10 08:13 PM
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 Originally Posted By: CV
The same reason I call every girl I like Mrs. Tharp, even though they'll have nothing to do with me. It's just fun.
You should try calling them by their given names and they might want to have something to do with you ;\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #287605 01/19/10 08:23 PM
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ouch.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
MarkSJohnson #287652 01/19/10 10:10 PM
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We aim to please. And help, on occasion. And needle.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
medic8r #287658 01/19/10 10:52 PM
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DROP the NEEDLE!!


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #287664 01/19/10 11:26 PM
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 Originally Posted By: jakewash
DROP the NEEDLE!!


... on the record

*dances*

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287669 01/20/10 12:16 AM
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As a species we are completely reactionary. London was literally drowning in it own shit before someone decided that maybe sewer systems were a good thing.

I guess if global warming really is human driven, we'll be repeating history, only on a larger scale. I guess its a good thing to cull the herd from time to time...


Fred

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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
fredk #287674 01/20/10 12:44 AM
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Fredk,

I agree about people being reactionary. Having said this, If I see the proof, I am more than happy to work proactively. IMHO, at the moment, there really isn't any proof that I have seen that C02 has any effect on the climate.

Having seen the fudge factor in the CRU code, I have no confidence in their models.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
pmbuko #287675 01/20/10 01:03 AM
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 Originally Posted By: pmbuko
Climategate.... sigh

Why do they call controversies or scandals [term]-gate? The Watergate scandal had nothing to do with water....

I drove by the Watergate Hotel this afternoon. Made me think of this.

Maybe it's the sound of the term 'gates' that wears on one's nerves, kinda like "Bill Gates".


Last edited by chesseroo; 01/20/10 01:03 AM.

"Those who preach the myths of audio are ignorant of truth."
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287678 01/20/10 01:12 AM
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I guess what you see depends on your perspective. There is good evidence to suggest that our understanding of CO2 and its role in driving climate change is not correct, though that still does not mean that CO2 has no role in warming.

It does not invalidate other evidence of human driven climate change. We still have record high air and water temperatures, rapidly dwindling glaciers and polar ice, rapidly slowing deep cold water current systems...

Like I wrote earlier, you have to dig a little deeper and look at what you find.


Fred

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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
fredk #287693 01/20/10 02:28 AM
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"There is good evidence..."

You see that's where my research from non MSM sources has led me to completely different conclusions to yourself.

I am not saying surface temperatures haven't been rising - they have, just as they have been since the last ice age. Has mankind accelerated this at all? Honestly I have found no reliable evidence that this is the case.

How much of the surface temperature rises are due to urban growth is a really hot topic at the moment. Also, it does appear that some "Climate scientists" - whatever that means - have been more than selective with their data - possibly to the point of ignoring 75% of temperature stations readings.

What I have found is a scientific community saying a lot of "we think this" and "we think that" which then goes through the political machine (usually the IPCC) to say "we now know this and we now know that". I have also found a scientific community where the scientific method has been undermined by politics and ideology where scientists who have doubts are scared to voice them or even worse, have difficultuy getting their work published.

It is worth asking how anyone can predict something as complex as the weather to the opoint where they're predicting temperature rises by 1,2,5 degrees c in a hundred years when they can't predict the weather in my area one month from now.

Just ask people in the UK about their views on the reliability of the Met office over there for a classic case in point.

Don't you think it would be a real shame if massive amoutns of the worlds resources went into combatting C02 only to find that C02 isn't a pollutant (which it isn't).

I am assuming that you research disregarded almost anything Mr Gore says. He is so far off base it's a joke. Also, anything from the IPCC I do not consider as objective science.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #287733 01/20/10 05:06 AM
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 Originally Posted By: jakewash
You should try calling them by their given names and they might want to have something to do with you ;\)


Oh, I tried years of that. Calling them the other thing is a sign of giving up.

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
CV #287740 01/20/10 05:29 AM
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I used to work on the direct approach - what is it 1 in 10 would say yes to a stranger?

Sure you get slapped the other nine times, but the tenth was worth it.


Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #287742 01/20/10 05:33 AM
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The tenth might slap me, too, after I tell her, "The other nine were smarter than you."

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
CV #287760 01/20/10 10:01 AM
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You are too funny Charles \:\)


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #287939 01/21/10 04:12 PM
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 Originally Posted By: jakewash
DROP the NEEDLE!!


I'm extremely doubtful, but by any slim chance were you referring to the opening yell from this 80's tune.
Dance Desire
It's just odd timing because just this morning they announced a comeback concert as part of a benefit for Haiti.


With great power comes Awesome irresponsibility.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Murph #287988 01/21/10 08:00 PM
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You win Murph!!!!! And your prize is ....... well NOTHING!! Good guess though. I hadn't heard about a comeback concert, not that I was much of a fan in the first place.


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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #288004 01/21/10 08:23 PM
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No way!!!!
I doubt you would hear about the comeback concert as it is just a local thing. It's tomorrow night though if you have time to regrow a mullet, tear some holes in your jeans and fly to PEI.


With great power comes Awesome irresponsibility.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Murph #288757 01/26/10 07:41 PM
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OK this Warm weather is getting out of hand.

IT"S JANUARY 26th AND MY LAWN IS GETTING GREEN AGAIN!!!!!

Never have I seen this before. We should have a yard full of snow. I'm actually quiet terrified of the spring coming now because without a good deep frost, err any frost actually, I expect the earwig population to be completely out of control.

Here is a pic I took at lunch as I'm working at home for the day.


To contrast it for you, here is a pic of our road in 2003 when we had the other extreme. Normally, our winter falls somewhere in the middle of the two.
.



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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Murph #288785 01/26/10 11:23 PM
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We got up to 10C the other day which is quite warm for this time of year....still nowhere near the record of 20C back in the 50's. Hmmm, I wonder if people back then cried "GLOBAL WARMING!" or if they just went outside and enjoyed the weather?


Half of communication is listening. You can't listen with your mouth.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #288789 01/27/10 12:00 AM
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Down here in Melbourne, The grass is still green in the middle of summer - Great stuff. I even have some water left in my rainwater tank.

This time last year we had the fires. One of them up the road started due to a spark from a drill motor hitting the grass - yes it was that dry.






Last edited by madjak; 01/27/10 12:03 AM.

Now this is how you learn Philosophy :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm0Uq08xXhY
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
madjak #288842 01/27/10 12:52 PM
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GW


"A fanatic is someone who can't change his mind and won't change the subject" Churchill
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Argon #288890 01/27/10 07:02 PM
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 Originally Posted By: Argon
GW

Yeah! And its mine so givit back its ccold here. ;\)


Fred

-------
Blujays1: Spending Fred's money one bottle at a time, no two... Oh crap!
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
fredk #297091 03/17/10 05:35 PM
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I had heard that the U.S. military was looking into global warming, since there are potential national security issues regarding the world's arable land, water supply, and the like. I did not know that the Pentagon was involved in the major, and, for me, definitive report that is referenced in this article, which is my new favorite GW link.


Bears, beets, Battlestar Galactica.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
medic8r #297240 03/18/10 08:43 PM
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You know it's warm when you see turtles sunning in March in Ontario.


Half of communication is listening. You can't listen with your mouth.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #329501 11/24/10 10:02 PM
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Just to resurrect an old thread and rant a little, we have been around -20c for a week and hit a record low for Novemeburrr yesterday with -37 over night. Today's high of -16 feels warm crazy


Jason
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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #329502 11/24/10 10:08 PM
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If it's too hot, David Suzuki will probably say it's due to global warming...if it's too cold, he'll likely say it's due too climate change...if it's just right, I wonder if he'll say it doesn't follow historically varying trends.


Half of communication is listening. You can't listen with your mouth.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #329519 11/24/10 11:40 PM
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Its its not between 64-74F, I try to not go outside laugh

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
tehghost132 #329522 11/24/10 11:43 PM
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RickF Offline OP
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Been in the lower 80s (F) here with very little humidity lately and I'm not complaining.


Rick
Our Room

smile
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
RickF #329523 11/24/10 11:52 PM
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30F here, snowing and very windy. Gotta love it!


M80's(2), VP150, QS8's(2), M3's(4)
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
merchman #329536 11/25/10 12:42 AM
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Tomorrow it's supposed to get all the way down to +32 F here. Burrr.

Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
CatBrat #329569 11/25/10 07:07 AM
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We're having a heat wave, it is now -12c smile We are supposed to see -8 for a high later today.


Jason
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VP160 v3
QS8 v2
PB13 Ultra
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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
jakewash #329979 12/01/10 04:56 AM
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axiomite
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Well, northeast of Toronto it snowed for a while, then it rained for a while, then it snowed for a while, and now it's back up to 10C and raining non-stop.

I have a snowblower but need something for the rain.


M60ti, VP180, QS8, M2ti, EP500, PC-Plus 20-39
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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
bridgman #329980 12/01/10 04:59 AM
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How about a few beers, then you won't care if it rains or snows.


Half of communication is listening. You can't listen with your mouth.
Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #330007 12/01/10 02:08 PM
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I'll let you know how it works. Some other time though, 'cause now it's snowing again...

Note to self... when you're about to buy a piece of land, and you notice that it seems a bit foggier and rainier than the surrounding area, REFLECT !!


M60ti, VP180, QS8, M2ti, EP500, PC-Plus 20-39
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Re: Cold Weather and Climate Change Thread
Adrian #330046 12/01/10 05:00 PM
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Originally Posted By: Adrian
How about a few beers, then you won't care if it rains or snows.


laugh laugh laugh


The only reasonable argument for owning a gun is to protect yourself from the police.
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