Damn this format war. I will be hesitant to buy a player knowing that one of the two technologies might go the way of Betamax or laser disc, and worst case scenario, be nothing more than a niche market.

My money would be on blu-ray. It has a higher disc capacity and appears to be the better technology. However, Betamax had better resolution than VHS but consumers backed VHS because of the cheaper prices. HD-DVD could help itself immensely if it is willing to sell their discs for cheaper than Blu-ray due to their cheaper production costs. That could swing the market in their favor. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.