I just don't think the skins are that good. They had to win Sunday and had trouble with the Eagles until the 4th quarter when the Eagles decided to start turning the ball over, and the Eagles had nothing to play for. I don't think the Skins or Tampa are that good...certainly the worst matchup of the four games. I think I'll go back to my original picks and have the Bears beating Tampa though. I don't believe in the Bears, but the more I think about it I don't believe in Tampa either. Carolina vs. Seattle should be the conference championship game, but it likely won't play out that way.