I'm not saying the older technologies will simply go away. Yeah, some people still play records. (Good luck finding a new release on LP though). New technologies will just show up faster. Look at the DVD. Many people thought it was going to flop. (Not me, but most everyone I knew did.) It's probably the fastest growing new technology ever.
I think HD-TV/HD-DVD may be the next big thing. ONLY if they can get true HD (1920x1080) out there at an affordable price. The great thing about DVD's was they 1) they weren't too pricey, and 2) they were a HUGE improvement over VHS.
True HD is a HUGE improvement over DVD and NTSC. I don't think it's "breakthrough" is much farther away.
