What the Packers have to exploit to win this game is the cornerbacks. In a 4 to 5 wr set, spread offense this is a mis-match for the Steelers D. I think you will see Troy floating around in the secondary most of the game instead of the line of scrimmage.
I think it would be dumb for the Packers to try to establish the run. What they have to do is put Rodgers in shotgun and have him throw 40 times. Use the pass to setup the run in the second half with the some delayed running plays out of a 4wr set.
On the Steelers front I don't think you want to get into a shootout with the packers. Steelers love to grind games out and this is where they would have an advantage. They must run the football and control the clock. Big Rape must be able to do his magic when he gets out of the pocket and avoid the high explosive pass rush of the Packers. The running back will be key to picking up the blitz. Big Rape always comes through in the clutch. Always has been money in big games. You might even see a gadget play from the Steelers at around the 40-50 yard line which could turn this game around.
All in all I think it will be an excellent game.
